{ "id": "grand-isle-2025-09-v1", "version": "1.0.0", "title": "Grand Isle hourly water level and tide prediction — September 2025", "station": { "id": "8761724", "name": "Grand Isle", "state": "LA", "latitude": 29.2633, "longitude": -89.9567 }, "period": { "start": "2025-09-01T00:00:00Z", "endExclusive": "2025-10-01T00:00:00Z" }, "datum": "MLLW", "units": "ft", "timeZone": "UTC", "differenceDefinition": "observed_ft minus predicted_ft", "selectionReason": "One complete historical September at the site's existing Grand Isle reference station; fixed before retrieving outcomes. An educational demonstration, not selected to maximize a difference or represent typical seasons.", "sourceProducts": [ "hourly_height", "predictions" ], "attribution": "Source observations, predictions and station metadata: NOAA CO-OPS. Analysis: Louisiana Deep Sea Fishing. No NOAA endorsement.", "retrievedAt": "2026-10-21T20:01:35.281Z", "sources": [ { "file": "observations.json", "url": "https://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/datagetter?station=8761724&begin_date=20250901&end_date=20250930&datum=MLLW&units=english&time_zone=gmt&format=json&application=LouisianaDeepSeaFishingResearch&product=hourly_height", "retrievedAt": "2026-10-21T20:01:35.070Z", "sha256": "95a7176d6b50cfe6e84da64c04f9ecef69d6cd5a933e9d34a3f2a7d744d2427c", "bytes": 44393 }, { "file": "predictions.json", "url": "https://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/datagetter?station=8761724&begin_date=20250901&end_date=20250930&datum=MLLW&units=english&time_zone=gmt&format=json&application=LouisianaDeepSeaFishingResearch&product=predictions&interval=h", "retrievedAt": "2026-10-21T20:01:35.178Z", "sha256": "3ada50036a0df649375bd07ee552fa30d834733bf18265950b4b903aee99c0a9", "bytes": 27317 }, { "file": "station.json", "url": "https://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/mdapi/prod/webapi/stations/8761724.json", "retrievedAt": "2026-10-21T20:01:35.281Z", "sha256": "99438003fe4d52ce34db0aabf10087cb379e33fef8af493cf803e8bbcdd3e10d", "bytes": 2634 } ], "rights": "https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/disclaimers.html", "methodology": { "pairing": "Exact UTC hourly timestamp on a full 720-hour grid. No interpolation, nearest-neighbor matching or gap filling.", "qualityRule": "Include only finite numeric pairs with hourly-height flags I,L both zero. Reject duplicates, off-grid/out-of-period times, wrong station, malformed flags or mismatched request settings. Exclude flagged/missing measurements and report all exclusions.", "rounding": "Source heights and differences retained to 0.001 ft; summary values rounded to 0.001 ft for display. This is numerical precision, not a claim of measurement accuracy.", "purpose": "Descriptive historical comparison at one station. Not a prediction skill assessment, navigation aid, current measurement, causal weather study or fishing-success analysis." }, "summary": { "expectedHours": 720, "observationRecords": 720, "predictionRecords": 720, "pairedHours": 720, "excludedHours": 0, "coveragePercent": 100, "exclusions": {}, "meanDifferenceFt": 0.253, "meanAbsoluteDifferenceFt": 0.27, "medianDifferenceFt": 0.237, "minDifference": { "timestamp_utc": "2025-09-25T21:00:00Z", "observed_ft": 0.577, "predicted_ft": 0.802, "difference_ft": -0.225, "observation_flags": "0,0", "included": true, "exclusion_reasons": [] }, "maxDifference": { "timestamp_utc": "2025-09-10T10:00:00Z", "observed_ft": 1.539, "predicted_ft": 0.745, "difference_ft": 0.794, "observation_flags": "0,0", "included": true, "exclusion_reasons": [] }, "abovePredictionHours": 629, "belowPredictionHours": 90, "equalPredictionHours": 1 }, "daily": [ { "date_utc": "2025-09-01", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.533 }, { 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0.543 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-12", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.301 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-13", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.217 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-14", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.183 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-15", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.13 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-16", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.058 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-17", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.113 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-18", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.28 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-19", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.287 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-20", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.242 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-21", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.206 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-22", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.205 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-23", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.243 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-24", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.167 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-25", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": -0.011 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-26", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": -0.037 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-27", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": -0.011 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-28", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": 0.088 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-29", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": -0.097 }, { "date_utc": "2025-09-30", "expected_hours": 24, "paired_hours": 24, "mean_difference_ft": -0.014 } ], "rows": [ { "timestamp_utc": "2025-09-01T00:00:00Z", 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